Liga Profesional de Fútbol
2,415 matches with Bet365 closing odds, seasons 2021 to 2026. Results use the 90-minute score.
Home win43.2%
Draw31.2%
Away win25.6%
Goals per match2.12
Results by home closing odds
How often the home team actually won at each price level, next to the win chance the odds implied once the bookmaker margin is removed.
The biggest gap between price and result is in the 1.30–1.49 home-odds band: home teams won 73.0% of 89 matches while the odds implied 67.3% (+5.7 points). Small samples move a lot, so treat single-band differences with caution.
| Home odds | Matches | Home won | Implied | Draw | Away won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01–1.29 | 17 | 70.6% | 76.5% | 5.9% | 23.5% |
| 1.30–1.49 | 89 | 73.0% | 67.3% | 14.6% | 12.4% |
| 1.50–1.69 | 180 | 55.6% | 59.0% | 29.4% | 15.0% |
| 1.70–1.99 | 470 | 52.6% | 51.3% | 29.6% | 17.9% |
| 2.00–2.39 | 626 | 42.7% | 43.3% | 32.6% | 24.8% |
| 2.40–2.99 | 510 | 37.6% | 35.8% | 32.5% | 29.8% |
| 3.00–3.99 | 395 | 32.4% | 28.5% | 36.7% | 30.9% |
| 4.00+ | 128 | 25.0% | 19.7% | 25.8% | 49.2% |
Most common closing prices
| 1 / X / 2 | Matches | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 / 3.10 / 3.50 | 10 | 40.0% | 40.0% | 20.0% |
| 2.45 / 3.00 / 3.20 | 10 | 60.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| 2.00 / 3.10 / 4.33 | 9 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| 1.95 / 3.10 / 4.50 | 8 | 50.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| 2.10 / 3.20 / 3.80 | 8 | 12.5% | 37.5% | 50.0% |
| 2.20 / 3.00 / 3.60 | 8 | 37.5% | 62.5% | 0.0% |
| 2.20 / 3.10 / 3.60 | 8 | 37.5% | 50.0% | 12.5% |
| 2.25 / 3.00 / 3.50 | 8 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 37.5% |
| 2.30 / 3.00 / 3.50 | 8 | 50.0% | 12.5% | 37.5% |
| 2.30 / 3.10 / 3.40 | 8 | 37.5% | 37.5% | 25.0% |
| 1.73 / 3.40 / 5.50 | 7 | 57.1% | 42.9% | 0.0% |
| 1.85 / 3.30 / 4.75 | 7 | 42.9% | 28.6% | 28.6% |
| 1.91 / 3.10 / 4.75 | 7 | 42.9% | 28.6% | 28.6% |
| 1.91 / 3.40 / 4.33 | 7 | 14.3% | 57.1% | 28.6% |
| 2.15 / 3.00 / 4.00 | 7 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 14.3% |
By season
| Season | Matches | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 461 | 42.1% | 29.7% | 28.2% |
| 2025 | 499 | 41.1% | 31.7% | 27.3% |
| 2024 | 378 | 45.0% | 33.6% | 21.4% |
| 2023 | 377 | 44.6% | 32.1% | 23.3% |
| 2022 | 377 | 43.5% | 30.5% | 26.0% |
| 2021 | 323 | 44.0% | 29.7% | 26.3% |