EURO

102 matches with Bet365 closing odds, seasons 2021 to 2024. Results use the 90-minute score.

Home win31.4%
Draw34.3%
Away win34.3%
Goals per match2.45

Results by home closing odds

How often the home team actually won at each price level, next to the win chance the odds implied once the bookmaker margin is removed.

The biggest gap between price and result is in the 4.00+ home-odds band: home teams won 5.9% of 34 matches while the odds implied 15.9% (-10.0 points). Small samples move a lot, so treat single-band differences with caution.

Home oddsMatchesHome wonImpliedDrawAway won
1.01–1.29650.0%78.2%50.0%0.0%
1.30–1.491127.3%69.5%54.5%18.2%
1.50–1.691275.0%60.2%16.7%8.3%
1.70–1.99955.6%52.6%11.1%33.3%
2.00–2.39837.5%42.4%50.0%12.5%
2.40–2.991145.5%36.1%27.3%27.3%
3.00–3.991118.2%29.4%36.4%45.5%
4.00+345.9%15.9%35.3%58.8%

Most common closing prices

1 / X / 2MatchesHomeDrawAway
1.33 / 5.00 / 10.0020.0%100.0%0.0%
1.57 / 4.00 / 6.00250.0%0.0%50.0%
1.60 / 3.80 / 6.00250.0%50.0%0.0%
5.75 / 3.90 / 1.6220.0%50.0%50.0%
6.50 / 3.90 / 1.5720.0%50.0%50.0%
8.50 / 4.50 / 1.4020.0%0.0%100.0%
1.11 / 9.50 / 19.0010.0%100.0%0.0%
1.20 / 7.00 / 13.001100.0%0.0%0.0%
1.22 / 6.50 / 13.0010.0%100.0%0.0%
1.25 / 6.00 / 12.001100.0%0.0%0.0%
1.25 / 6.25 / 11.001100.0%0.0%0.0%
1.29 / 5.75 / 11.0010.0%100.0%0.0%
1.30 / 5.00 / 12.001100.0%0.0%0.0%
1.30 / 5.25 / 11.0010.0%100.0%0.0%
1.33 / 4.75 / 12.0010.0%0.0%100.0%

By season

SeasonMatchesHomeDrawAway
20245133.3%37.3%29.4%
20215129.4%31.4%39.2%