Premier Division

363 matches with Bet365 closing odds, seasons 2025 to 2026. Results use the 90-minute score.

Home win41.9%

Draw29.2%

Away win28.9%

Goals per match2.59

Results by home closing odds

How often the home team actually won at each price level, next to the win chance the odds implied once the bookmaker margin is removed.

The biggest gap between price and result is in the 2.00–2.39 home-odds band: home teams won 49.2% of 63 matches while the odds implied 42.0% (+7.3 points). Small samples move a lot, so treat single-band differences with caution.

Home odds	Matches	Home won	Implied	Draw	Away won
1.01–1.29	12	75.0%	74.5%	16.7%	8.3%
1.30–1.49	36	69.4%	65.8%	19.4%	11.1%
1.50–1.69	48	50.0%	58.7%	25.0%	25.0%
1.70–1.99	50	46.0%	50.6%	34.0%	20.0%
2.00–2.39	63	49.2%	42.0%	23.8%	27.0%
2.40–2.99	56	30.4%	35.1%	39.3%	30.4%
3.00–3.99	54	33.3%	26.9%	33.3%	33.3%
4.00+	44	11.4%	19.4%	29.5%	59.1%

Most common closing prices

1 / X / 2	Matches	Home	Draw	Away
2.20 / 3.10 / 3.10	4	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%
1.70 / 3.70 / 4.33	3	66.7%	33.3%	0.0%
1.27 / 5.25 / 9.00	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.30 / 5.00 / 9.50	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.50 / 4.00 / 5.75	2	50.0%	50.0%	0.0%
1.55 / 3.90 / 5.25	2	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%
1.62 / 3.70 / 5.00	2	50.0%	50.0%	0.0%
1.85 / 3.20 / 4.20	2	50.0%	50.0%	0.0%
1.90 / 3.40 / 3.60	2	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%
1.90 / 3.50 / 3.60	2	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%
2.05 / 3.20 / 3.40	2	50.0%	50.0%	0.0%
2.20 / 3.10 / 3.50	2	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%
2.25 / 3.10 / 3.10	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2.40 / 3.00 / 2.80	2	50.0%	50.0%	0.0%
2.60 / 2.90 / 2.70	2	50.0%	50.0%	0.0%

By season

Season	Matches	Home	Draw	Away
2026	177	40.1%	30.5%	29.4%
2025	186	43.5%	28.0%	28.5%