CONCACAF Nations League

488 matches with Bet365 closing odds, seasons 19/20 to 26/27. Results use the 90-minute score.

Home win46.9%

Draw16.6%

Away win36.5%

Goals per match3.18

Results by home closing odds

How often the home team actually won at each price level, next to the win chance the odds implied once the bookmaker margin is removed.

The biggest gap between price and result is in the 1.70–1.99 home-odds band: home teams won 58.3% of 36 matches while the odds implied 50.4% (+8.0 points). Small samples move a lot, so treat single-band differences with caution.

Home odds	Matches	Home won	Implied	Draw	Away won
1.01–1.29	108	84.3%	82.2%	8.3%	7.4%
1.30–1.49	36	66.7%	66.2%	22.2%	11.1%
1.50–1.69	36	61.1%	58.3%	13.9%	25.0%
1.70–1.99	36	58.3%	50.4%	27.8%	13.9%
2.00–2.39	41	46.3%	42.0%	29.3%	24.4%
2.40–2.99	47	36.2%	33.4%	10.6%	53.2%
3.00–3.99	53	26.4%	27.5%	24.5%	49.1%
4.00+	131	16.0%	12.8%	14.5%	69.5%

Most common closing prices

1 / X / 2	Matches	Home	Draw	Away
7.00 / 4.50 / 1.33	4	0.0%	50.0%	50.0%
4.20 / 3.60 / 1.67	3	33.3%	0.0%	66.7%
1.04 / 15.00 / 34.00	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.04 / 15.00 / 41.00	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.10 / 9.00 / 13.00	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.10 / 12.00 / 13.00	2	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%
1.13 / 7.50 / 15.00	2	50.0%	50.0%	0.0%
1.18 / 5.75 / 13.00	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.44 / 4.00 / 6.50	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.50 / 4.20 / 5.25	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.70 / 3.40 / 4.20	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
1.85 / 3.40 / 3.80	2	0.0%	50.0%	50.0%
2.63 / 3.10 / 2.40	2	0.0%	50.0%	50.0%
2.88 / 3.40 / 2.15	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
3.10 / 3.40 / 2.25	2	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%

By season

Season	Matches	Home	Draw	Away
26/27	70	47.1%	11.4%	41.4%
24/25	109	45.0%	14.7%	40.4%
23/24	102	51.0%	15.7%	33.3%
22/23	104	44.2%	21.2%	34.6%
19/20	103	47.6%	18.4%	34.0%